Biden’s last stand: How mistakes by his inner circle sealed his fate

US President Joe Biden’s decision to end his re-election campaign on Sunday followed a series of strategic blunders by his campaign team and White House aides that amplified concerns that the 81-year-old president would be unable to win in November’s election or rule the country for another four years.

Biden’s shaky performance in the June 27 presidential debate against Republican nominee Donald Trump prompted even some of his closest allies to question whether he could sustain a full campaign and added fuel to a simmering movement in the Democratic Party questioning the wisdom of his second term.

In a matter of days, Biden went from being the party’s leading figure to a liability. He became the first sitting president to forgo a possible reelection bid since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.

These were some of the key moments that led to Biden’s downfall.

The debate blow: from April to June

Biden himself set the debate in motion, after telling radio host Howard Stern in April that he would debate Trump, despite concerns from some of his Democratic allies that a debate might do little to improve his chances or even cast an unflattering light on him.

Some Biden advisers thought they had scored a major coup by agreeing to a June debate. They worked with CNN to shape the rules in their favor and on May 15 agreed to hold two debates, including the first on June 27.

Some Biden advisers thought an early debate would be helpful in convincing voters that there was no other anti-Trump option in the race, but also to cushion the blow of any lackluster performance by the president.

The format — no audience to back up Trump’s jokes, no third-party candidates, moderators they could trust and a mute button on microphones — would, they thought, play to Biden’s style.

Jet lag – June 4-27

Biden flew to Europe twice and to the West Coast over a 14-day period before taking a few days to rest at his vacation home in Rehoboth Beach, Delaware.
Biden was tired and dragged out by the end of the trip, according to several people who observed him during that period.

He and his aides headed to Camp David for focused preparation sessions on June 21, where they bombarded Biden with details and then followed up with mock debates for the better part of seven days.

A bad night – June 27

At CNN’s studio in Atlanta, Biden stumbled and lost his train of thought. His manner of speaking, his appearance and his voice immediately attracted the attention of reporters, who asked his staff for an explanation.

Officials told reporters as the debate was underway some new information: Biden was sick with a cold, they said.
Biden’s hoarseness would improve as the debate progressed, but his disjointed answers stunned voters, donors and Democratic officials. One Democratic strategist called it a “disaster.”

Trump, 78, repeated a series of obvious and hackneyed falsehoods during the 90-minute debate, including claims that he had actually won the 2020 election. Biden failed to refute them, leaving sentences and thoughts unfinished.

Trump criticized Biden for being incoherent: “I really don’t know what he said at the end of that sentence. I don’t think he knows what he said.”

Fallout: June 27th – July 2nd

“I know I’m not a young man, to put it bluntly,” Biden said the day after the debate, admitting his poor performance. “I almost fell asleep on stage,” he said on July 2.

Calls for Biden to resign would begin in the hours after the debate. Calls from Biden advisers to worried Democrats facing reelection campaigns who saw their political futures flash before their eyes would not begin until days later.

Some lawmakers began to break ranks, starting with U.S. Rep. Lloyd Doggett on July 2, and then gaining momentum.

Angry donors told Biden aides they would need to see a change in the candidate’s performance. Senior Democrats and Biden allies also began hinting at changes to the ticket.

House Democrat Jim Clyburn, a kingmaker of sorts within the Democratic Party who was instrumental in Biden’s 2020 victory, said on July 2 that he would back Vice President Kamala Harris if Biden dropped out and floated the idea of ​​a “mini-primary” if Biden stepped aside.

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a longtime Biden ally, said it was legitimate to ask whether Biden’s performance in Atlanta was an “episode” or a condition. She also suggested Biden would have to examine his decision to enter the race.

The dam breaks – July 5-8

Biden would fail to silence the chorus of dissent.
In his first major interview after the debate on July 5, Biden told ABC News anchor George Stephanopoulos that only the “Lord Almighty” could kick him out of the race.

More worrying to some Democrats, Biden said he could accept staying in the race and losing to Trump “as long as I give it my all and do the best job I know I can do.”

Thirty-six Democratic U.S. lawmakers and one independent who sits on the Democratic caucus are expected to ultimately call on Biden to drop out of the ticket within 24 days of the debate.

NATO, elections from July 9 to 12

Biden tried to move on. He gave interviews, held a press conference and delivered tough speeches during the election campaign and at the NATO summit of US allies.

But at times events caused more concern than reassurance.

At the NATO summit in the second week of July, Biden mixed up the names of his vice president, Harris, and his Republican rival, Trump, and those of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and Russian President Vladimir Putin, whose countries are at war with each other.

Polls showed Biden trailing other Democrats in many of the key states and districts Democrats need to win in November, though national polls continued to point to a tight race.

Biden was unfazed, continuing to believe he was the best candidate to take on Trump and that he could bounce back from this setback as he had so many times before, a view reinforced by a close circle of advisers.

Shooting at Trump rally – July 13

Trump was shot while giving a speech in Pennsylvania. The bullet grazed his ear and left his face bloodied, and photos of the former president raising his fist in defiance were widely circulated.

Republicans spoke of divine providence and rallied around their candidate. Democrats feared their own chances were doomed, seeing only a narrower path to victory in November.

Days later, Biden contracted COVID-19 while campaigning in Nevada. As he recovered at his home in Rehoboth Beach, Delaware, he had time, alone and isolated, to decide whether and how to end his campaign.